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2006 Summer Institute
on Longitudinal Research
August 14-16, 2006
Daniel Nagin, Ph.D., Heinz School, Carnegie
Mellon University
Presentation:
Causal Inference with Group-Based Trajectory
Models
Selected references:
Nagin, D. S. (2005). Group-Based Modeling of Development. Cambridge,
MA.: Harvard University Press.
Nagin, D. S., & Tremblay, R. E. (2005). Developmental trajectory
groups: Fact or a useful statistical fiction? Criminology, 43,
873-904.
Nagin, D. S., & Tremblay, R. E. (2005). What has been learned
from group-based trajectory modeling?: Examples from physical aggression
and other problem behaviors. Annals of the American Academy of
Political and Social Science, 602, 82-117.
Haviland, A., & Nagin, D. S. (2005). Causal inference with
group-based trajectory models. Psychometrika, 70, 1-22.
Broidy, L. M., Nagin, D. S., Tremblay, R. E., Bates, J. E., Brame,
B., Dodge, K., Fergusson, D., Horwood, J., Loeber, R., Laird, R.,
Lynam, D., Moffitt, T., Pettit, G. S., & Vitaro, F. (2003). Developmental
trajectories of childhood disruptive behaviors and adolescent delinquency
: A six site, cross-national study. Developmental Psychology,
39, 222-245.
Nagin, D. S., & Pogarsky, G. (2003). Cheating as crime: An
experimental investigation of deterrence. Criminology, 41, 167-194.
Nagin, D. S., Rebitzer, J., Sanders, S., & Taylor, L. 2002.
Monitoring, motivation and management: The determinants of opportunistic
behavior in a field experiment. American Economic Review, 92, 850-872.
Nagin, D. S., & Tremblay, R.E. (2001). Parental
and early childhood predictors of persistent physical aggression
in boys from kindergarten to high school. Archives of General
Psychiatry, 58(4), 389-394.
Nagin, D. S. (1999). Analyzing developmental trajectories: A semi-parametric,
group-based approach. Psychological Methods, 4, 139-177.
Nagin, D. S., & Tremblay, R. E. (1999). Trajectories
of boys’ physical aggression, opposition, and hyperactivity
on the path to physically violent and nonviolent juvenile delinquency. Child
Development, 70, 1181-1196.
Roeder K., Lynch, K., & Nagin, D. S. (1999). Modeling uncertainty
in latent class membership: A case study in criminology. Journal
of the American Statistical Association, 94, 766-776.
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